The St. Louis Cardinals will pick fifth overall in the first round of the 2025 MLB Draft
12/10/2024 09:14 PM
Just like we all drew it up.
It is here I will make a confession: I had hunch that the St. Louis Cardinals were going someone win a top-6 draft pick this lottery. The rest of the writers can confirm this: at around 4:15pm I sent a message asking someone to write up a post in the unlikely even the Cardinals won a top-6 pick because I was going to be busy. I almost didn't send it — it probably wouldn't come up — but what if it did? I couldn't tell you why I had this hunch, but it was just a feeling I had that I couldn't ignore. It was why I kept writing about the odds and made sure to mention when the lottery would be. Maybe I just manifested it into being.
Because the odds were slim, folks. There was a less than 1% chance the Cardinals would get the number one pick and I think after running the numbers — without knowing exactly how they assign the numbers for this whole lottery thing and just looking at it like a raffle — that because the Mariners, who had an even smaller number of chances in the lottery, won the fourth pick, the odds the Cardinals would get a top 6 pick after that actually fell even lower. I am looking at around 0.4% odds for that number 5 pick. Regardless of how the figure this, I feel pretty comfortable telling you all that the odds of Cardinals winning a top-six pick were real low. Here are the top 6 in order:
- Washington Nationals
- Los Angeles Angels
- Seattle Mariners
- Colorado Rockies
- St. Louis Cardinals
- Pittsburgh Pirates
For the first time since 1998 when the Cardinals selected J.D. Drew with the fifth overall pick in the draft the Cardinals will have a pick in the top five. Time to get researching who their options are!
