Down to the Wire (No Platform Yet)- Cal Hunts for 21 Points to Catch Texas (Day 4 Ups/Downs)

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By Mark Wild on SwimSwam

2025 Men's NCAA Swimming and Diving Championships

For those unfamiliar with swimming terminology, the concept of "Ups" and "Downs" is a good way to track which teams performed best during prelims. In prelims at the NCAA Championships swimmers qualify for one of three finals: the top eight finishers make the 'A' final (Ups) and places nine through 16 make the 'B' final (Downs). In finals, swimmers are locked into their respective final, meaning a swimmer in the 'B' final can only place as high as 9th or as low as 16th, even if they swim the fastest or slowest time of the event in any final.

With that in mind, we track "Ups" and "Downs" after each prelims session as a way to follow the team race. 

Team Scores Through Day 3

  1. Texas — 368
  2. California — 312.5
  3. Indiana — 304
  4. Florida – 233
  5. Georgia — 177.5
  6. Arizona State – 172
  7. Tennessee – 162.5
  8. Stanford — 162
  9. NC State — 128
  10. Michigan — 83
  11. Alabama/Ohio State — 68
  12. Virginia Tech — 63
  13. Texas A&M — 57.5
  14. USC — 55
  15. Louisville — 53
  16. Florida State — 48
  17. Purdue — 33
  18. Wisconsin — 28
  19. LSU — 26
  20. Georgia Tech — 24
  21. UNC —  21
  22. Army/Yale/Utah — 15
  23. Auburn — 14
  24. Pittsburgh — 13
  25. Virginia/SMU — 12
  26. Miami (FL)/Brown — 11
  27. Kentucky/Missouri — 6
  28. Arizona — 1

With today being the final day of the meet, each and every team was desperate to put as many swimmers into the finals as they possibly could. Of the contenders, Cal had a very good day. The Bears advanced a total of 11 swimmers into the finals, with six of them (barring DQ expected to score at least 11 points or more). With Texas advancing seven swimmers and having half the number of A-finalists, Cal is going to be looking to close the 55.5-point gap.

Prelims + Actual, Excluding Platform and 1650 Free

Indiana did well for themselves, moving on six swimmers, the third most of any team, and their four A-finalists, trails on Cal, but even if diving and the all-important mile go their way, then it’ll be close.

Some new schools again, barring DQ, will add themselves to the scoring team’s list as Penn’s Matt Fallon earned an A-Final and Cornell, Cal-Baptist, and Minnesota all earned their first 2nd swims of the meet.

SchoolTotal200 Back100 Free200 Breast200 FlyPlatform Diving
Texas3/42/01/10/20/1
California6/53/21/21/01/1
Indiana4/21/11/02/10/0
Florida2/11/01/00/10/0
Georgia3/01/00/00/02/0
Arizona State2/10/01/10/01/0
Tennessee3/20/02/10/01/1
Stanford1/50/20/00/21/1
NC State0/10/10/00/00/0
Michigan1/10/00/00/01/1
Alabama0/10/10/00/00/0
Ohio State0/00/00/00/00/0
Virginia Tech1/20/00/21/00/0
Texas A&M0/00/00/00/00/0
USC1/10/00/00/11/0
Louisville2/00/00/02/00/0
Florida State0/10/00/00/00/1
Purdue0/00/00/00/00/0
Wisconsin0/00/00/00/00/0
LSU1/00/01/00/00/0
Georgia Tech0/00/00/00/00/0
UNC0/10/00/00/10/0
Army0/00/00/00/00/0
Yale0/00/00/00/00/0
Utah0/00/00/00/00/0
Auburn0/00/00/00/00/0
Pittsburgh0/00/00/00/00/0
Virginia0/00/00/00/00/0
SMU0/00/00/00/00/0
Miami (FL)0/00/00/00/00/0
Brown1/00/00/01/00/0
Kentucky0/00/00/00/00/0
Missouri0/00/00/00/00/0
Arizona0/10/00/00/00/1
Cornell0/10/10/00/00/0
Cal Baptist0/10/00/10/00/0
Penn1/00/00/01/00/0
Minnesota0/10/00/00/00/1

If we use the scored out prelims and the projected mile and 400 free relay scores based on the psych sheet. we find the Cal and Texas are in a close race.

A very close race.

Cal leads the way with a projected 112 points from this morning’s four prelims swims. Indiana follows with 74, and Tennessee rounds out the top three with 63. Texas sits 4th with 61.5, meaning Cal picks up a nice 50-plus points.

If added to the scores from yesterday the California Golden Bears trail the Longhorns by just 5 points. That said, Texas is projected to outscore Cal in the mile 39-17. Cal holds the advantage in the relay 30 -24, meaning if you do the math, Cal needs to find 21 points.

21 points.

It may seem like a lot, but Cal went 1/1 last year in diving, so I could find the points there. They could also chip away event by event, especially if 8th-seeded Yamato Okadome and 15th-seeded Matt Jensen move up a few places.

Day 3 ActualDay 4 Pysch Sheet Projection (with relay, no diving)200 Back100 Free200 Breast200 FlyAll Prelims SwimsPlatform Diving1650 Free400 Free RelayDAY 4  Scored

 

Total= Day 4 Scored + Day 3 Actual
Texas368128.5322072.561.53924124.5492.5
California312.5126582511181121730159471.5
Indiana304982211410741126111415
Florida233961117603423470303
Georgia177.539150032470855232.5
Arizona State17275.50220173973278250
Tennessee162.59603902463040103265.5
Stanford162509041225122259221
NC State12868.530003232854182
Michigan831200018180018101
Alabama6813200021121583
Ohio State6818000000141482
Virginia Tech6335062002601844107
Texas A&M57.5120000004461.5
USC55160041620002075
Louisville53180025025002578
Florida State4827000660101664
Purdue3300000000033
Wisconsin2800000000028
LSU26130120012021440
Georgia Tech2450000050529
UNC21130070700728
Army1500000000015
Yale1513000001301328
Utah1500000000015
Auburn1410.50000040418
Pittsburgh1300000000013
Virginia12180000006618
SMU1200000000012
Miami (FL)1100000000011
Brown11160014014001425
Kentucky621000002102127
Missouri60000000006
Arizona11000770078
Cornell07400040044
Cal Baptist012030030033
Penn0200016016001616
Minnesota020002.52.5002.52.5

 

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