New Year’s Day racing tips: Best bets at Cheltenham, Tramore and Fairyhouse from Tom Lunn
12/31/2024 10:00 AM
talkSPORT have you covered with free horse racing tips and free bets on New Year’s Day’s fixtures at Cheltenham, Tramore and Fairyhouse.
Tom Lunn has gone through the cards, form, going and much more to help guide your horse racing betting choices.
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New Year’s Day racing tips
- CHELTENHAM
1.30: Broadway Boy 5/4 (2pts)
2.05: Colonel Harry 4/1 (1pt)
2.40: Catch Him Derry 11/2 Each-way (1pt)
3.15: Langer Dan 11/2 Each-way (2pts) - TRAMORE
2.15: Monty’s Star 6/4 (1pt) - FAIRYHOUSE
2.25: Limerick Lace 11/8 (1pt)
Broadway Boy
Would have backed this horse ante-post when there were still plenty of runners involved.
But now he faces just four rivals and his price ultimately hasn’t changed too much he seems a great price at 5/4.
That could change on the day but he’s a strong contender for the Twiston-Davies team.
Mostly given to his form at Cheltenham – with his form line here reading: 12113.
His third was a tough ask against Senior Chief who seemed to thrive that day and he more than reversed the placings with that horse next time out at Newbury, where Kandoo Kid just beat Broadway Boy by two lengths.
Lots to like about his potential in this despite carrying top-weight but should fare well against these older rivals.
Colonel Harry
I have to say it was tough to really pick one horse out of these as they all offer something a little different.
But overall I think Colonel Harry, who runs for an in-form yard for trainer Jamie Snowden appeals a lot.
He’s still settling into being a chaser and this season could be where we see his best form so far.
And if his placings before are anything to go by – placing close behind Marble Sands in November, beating Trelawne last January and a close second behind Le Patron – he should go very well if improving.
He was tried over a new trip last time out at Newbury, which looks to be the reason why he tailed off, but he’s back to 2m4f now and ought to go well.
Catch Him Derry
A disappointing run in the Stayers’ Handicap Hurdle at Haydock last time out in his first attempt in a Graded contest.
But he’s back down in grade and can make the most of a low weight, especially as he’s hinted towards being a progressive sort for the Skeltons and should still have much higher to go in the weights.
Langer Dan
Surprised to see the price on this consistent hurdler this high so appeals a lot each-way.
He’s not always going to win but he’s often up there at the finish in these top-class contests so 11/2 is good value.
Langer Dan has the crucial Cheltenham form too that helps his case more than most, but recently he’s shown he’s amongst the top hurdlers – given his close placing behind Impaire Et Passe in the Aintree Hurdle and the Select Hurdle at Sandown.
Prior to that he won over 2m5f in the Coral Cup at Cheltenham Festival for the second successive year and looks in the best form he’s been in.
He carries just 4lb more than some rivals, just 1lb more than the likes of Salver and only 8lb more than the mare Golden Ace, who may have trouble if Langer Dan takes things up early.
Monty’s Star
There aren’t too many clear favourites on New Year’s Day’s card that really appeal for a full 2pts that have more confidence, but Monty’s Star is certainly up there with the strongest of favourites.
He’s clear of some top-rated rivals who have to carry extra weight too, Minella Indo for instance is now 12-years-old and gives away 6lb which is a tough ask.
Appreciate It, now 11-years-old faces a challenge against Monty’s Star who goes well fresh and whose form has been boosted by two decent placings behind Spillane’s Tower and Fact To File.
He’s still quite unexposed as a chaser especially over this distance and could make all.
Limerick Lace
Limerick Lace has hinted at being a top horse over fences with her Grade 2 mares’ chase win over Dinoblue at Cheltenham in March, but her most recent appearance was below par.
However, if she bounces back she’s got a great chance having previously beaten Riviere D’Etel before.
She can be forgiven for that too given she was tenth in the Grand National, 30 lengths behind I Am Maximus but it’s been known to take a lot out of horses.
Her main rival should realistically be from Allegorie De Vassy but she too hasn’t had a great run of late and was also behind Limerick Lace at Cheltenham Festival in the Mares’ Chase.
I’m hopeful she can be back to her best now with that first run of the season out the way which it does seem like she may have needed, after a big run in the Grand National, as the joint-favourite.
Tom Lunn’s Profit/Loss
- From November ’24: +66.44
- From May ’24: +220.39pts
- From July ’23: +432.95pts
All odds correct at time of writing
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