Boxing Day horse racing tips: Best bets at Kempton, Wetherby & Aintree from Tom Lunn
Today at 11:09 AM
talkSPORT have you covered with free horse racing tips and free bets on Boxing Day’s fixtures at Kempton, Wetherby & Aintree.
Tom Lunn has gone through the cards, form, going and much more to help guide your horse racing betting choices.
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Boxing Day racing tips
- KEMPTON
1.20: Hyland 3/1 (1pt)
1.55: Constitution Hill 11/8 (2pts)
2.30, King George VI Chase: The Real Whacker & Bravemansgame 33/1 & 20/1 each-way (1pt each) - WETHERBY
1.35: Kinondo Kwetu 14/1 each-way (1pt) - AINTREE
12.30: Westerninthepark 13/8 (1pt)
1.05: Celtic Dino 6/1 each-way (1pt)
2.50: Booster Bob 11/4 (1pt)
Hyland
The Jukebox Man has some fine form over 3m but hasn’t won over that distance yet – though he did come close at Cheltenham Festival behind Stellar Story in the Albert Bartlett.
He made a promising switch to fences winning on chase debut ahead of Masaccio, over 2m4f at Newbury in the Grade 2 John Francome Novices’ Chase.
But for me it’s Hyland who has to be backed again at 3/1, he appeals just that little bit more, though The Jukebox Man is set to be great and is unexposed over fences.
However, Hyland has now won three of his four races over fences and looks set to suit this challenge at Kempton after his Cheltenham victory over Resplendent Grey and Springwell Bay.
Constitution Hill
It’s been a year since we’ve seen Constitution Hill on the track after he won this race at 1/12 last year.
It would have been a surprise if you’d have said he’s 11/8 coming into this but Lossiemouth has impressed a lot – winning each of her last six races.
That said, the mare will probably need to find more to win this as I can not see Constitution Hill ever losing – if he’s fully fit and even if he has to be cajoled along, he should still win nicely.
The scepticism for this horse mostly comes from the lack of runs recently as he’s been withdrawn a few times for a few races early on including Cheltenham Festival and the Fighting Fifth just last month.
But he’s a great race horse and never lost under rules – so you can take this 11/8 or above evens price with a lot of gratitude that we can see a proper hurdle battle.
Bravemansgame & The Real Whacker
I wouldn’t usually put up two tips for a race like this but it’s the King George in a renewal that sees 11 runners all with very mixed form, potential, experience and ability.
I would be going all in on Grey Dawning as a straight bet but my concerns for him would only be based on the ground.
He’s been withdrawn due to good ground before and would be a worry backing him aside from on the day, in case he gets the non-runner treatment again, despite looking like he’s an ideal sort for a King George.
Then we’re left with a few youngsters, French and Irish raiders amongst some massive priced British horses.
Which is why it’s a bit surprising the likes of Bravemansgame, who won this race in 2022 and The Real Whacker, who beat Bravemansgame last time out and placed a promising fourth in this last year.
The Paul Nicholls-trained horse was second to Hewick last year when really pipped to the line in the final few yards and hasn’t quite been seen to the same effect since.
But he was close up at Wetherby and can’t be ruled out from another big run at a course he does well at.
Kinondo Kwetu
You can never rule this horse out from putting in a top performance not long after his last race.
He’s had a busy year and could cap off and even end this season with a big run at Wetherby in this Premier Handicap.
The eight-year-old has eight wins from 20 chase starts which is remarkable and he thrives over this distance.
His last three runs have been disappointing but he’s been nudged down the weights making him appeal more.
He was second at Perth in September off 2lb higher despite carrying top-weight in a small field and this race looks up for grabs for the distance specialist, even as a big each-way punt.
Westerninthepark
Trainer Olly Murphy is eyeing up some big prizes over the festive period and has this huge favourite at Aintree.
The six-year-old gelding won in style on chase debut in October before going well behind Peaky Boy at Cheltenham to really frank his own form.
He was upped just 3lb for that and could be very well-weighted as a result, unexposed over fences and looks set to progress under Sean Bowen.
Celtic Dino
On paper Potters Charm looks an easy bet but it can be easy to get carried away with recent wins, especially when they’re by 11 lengths ahead of the likes of Valgrand.
But he’s since not gone well and the same can be said for third placed Gale Mahler.
It begs the question was it just a great run or did he beat some horses dipping in form?
For that reason and the fact it’s a drop to 2m1f, I’d be tempted to go for Celtic Dino who looks unexposed and has more form over this trip.
He ran well ahead of Wade Out, comfortably so, and that horse has franked that form since.
Celtic Dino has won four of his five races under rules including his first two outings over hurdles, really convincingly and could continue his steep rise at Aintree for trainer Sam Thomas at a lovely price.
Tom Lunn’s Profit/Loss
- November ’24: +53.11
- From May ’24: +207.47pts
- From July ’23: +420.37pts
All odds correct at time of writing
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