NBA odds, betting preview (Jan. 13): Warriors vs. Raptors predictions

01/13/2025 11:00 AM

The Toronto Raptors will try and snap a five-game losing streak when they host the Golden State Warriors on Monday night at Scotiabank Arena.

Toronto is coming off a 123-114 loss to the Pistons in Detroit on Saturday. The Raptors went 0-3 (1-2 against the spread) on their recent three-game road trip that also included stops in Cleveland and New York.

The Warriors are coming off a 108-96 defeat to the Indiana Pacers on Friday. They’ll be playing the third contest of their current four-game road trip that will end Wednesday in Minnesota.

Let’s dive into the game odds for Monday’s clash between the Warriors and Raptors:

SIGN UP FOR BET365 SPORTSBOOK!

Betting Golden State Warriors (19-19 SU, 18-19-1 ATS, 16-22 o/u)

Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Andrew Wiggins, Jonathan Kuminga, Brandin Podziemski, and Gary Payton III all didn’t play due to injury last Friday against the Pacers, so having the weekend off to rest and recover was certainly beneficial to them heading into this matchup.

Curry, Kuminga, and Wiggins are the team’s top three scorers this season and account for 41 percent of the team’s scoring, so it’s good news that two of those three (Curry and Wiggins) aren’t listed on the team’s injury report Monday (see the below section for more details).

The Warriors’ bench is averaging 46 points per game, second in the NBA behind Memphis (46.9), so there are talented players that can step up to fill the current void left by injuries.

Bettors should also know that the Warriors have played in 23 clutch games (games in which the score is within five points or less in the final five minutes of the game), the second-most in the NBA this season behind Minnesota (25). They’ve posted an 11-12 record in those games, but this stat is significant given Monday’s 5.5-point spread in favour of Golden State, which typically plays close games.

Betting Toronto Raptors (8-31 SU, 21-16-2 ATS, 21-18 o/u)

The Raptors are finally healthy, but that hasn’t had a positive impact on their record. They’ve dropped 16 of their last 17 games and enter play Monday with the third-worst record in the league, behind New Orleans (8-32) and Washington (6-31). This isn’t a bad thing, though, from a draft lottery perspective this summer.

Defensively, the Raptors are a complete mess. Their 117.8 team defensive rating is tied for the second-worst mark in the league, and they rank in the bottom 10 in blocks, opponent points off turnovers, opponent second-chance points, opponent fast-break points, and opponent points in the paint. Bench players like Jamal Shead can help ramp up opposing turnovers, but they give it back with increased fouls.

Warriors vs. Raptors injuries

G Gary Payton III (calf), G Brandin Podziemski (abdomen), and F Jonathan Kuminga (ankle) are out for the Warriors. F Draymond Green (disc) is questionable.

The Raptors have a clean injury report.

Warriors vs. Raptors betting trends

• The over is 7-3 in the past 10 meetings.
• Toronto is 12-7-1 ATS at home this season.
• The over is 13-7 in Toronto’s home games this season.
• The under is 12-6 in Golden State’s road games this season.

Warriors vs. Raptors player prop trends

• Buddy Hield has beaten his assists line of 1.5 in five straight games, averaging 3.8 per game during that span. He’s around -115 to exceed this line.
• Scottie Barnes has registered a double-double in back-to-back games and at a 42 percent rate this season. He’s around +150 to record one Monday.
• RJ Barrett has scored 20 points or less in four of his last five games with a median of 17 points in that span. He’s around -125 to record under 21.5 points.

Warriors vs. Raptors best bet

• Stephen Curry over 24.5 points: -120 (best odds at FanDuel). Curry has only beaten this line in five of his last 10 games, but getting a breather last Friday and some additional time to recover over the weekend should really benefit him here. Toronto is giving up the 27th-most points in the league to point guards (25.28) this season, and Curry is averaging 25.8 points per game across 17 career contests against the Raptors. With up to four players possibly being out due to injury for the Warriors, Curry should play some heavy minutes and put up plenty of shots in this one.

The post NBA odds, betting preview (Jan. 13): Warriors vs. Raptors predictions first appeared on Raptors Republic.